Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.023233 0.028136 0.033290 0.039072 0.045335 0.051881 0.059202
2026-02-08 0.014398 0.020850 0.028199 0.036977 0.046996 0.057920 0.070592
2026-02-15 0.009556 0.016647 0.025364 0.036344 0.049384 0.064037 0.081449
2026-02-22 0.006792 0.014231 0.024043 0.036953 0.052756 0.070906 0.092834
2026-03-01 0.004856 0.012404 0.023075 0.037674 0.056004 0.077425 0.103643
2026-03-08 0.003630 0.011282 0.022806 0.039090 0.059947 0.084647 0.115168
2026-03-15 0.002525 0.010007 0.022111 0.039794 0.062892 0.090591 0.125126
2026-03-22 0.002260 0.010202 0.023515 0.043263 0.069285 0.100662 0.139932
2026-03-29 0.001246 0.008440 0.021747 0.042278 0.069917 0.103684 0.146331
2026-04-05 0.000751 0.007558 0.021218 0.042910 0.072554 0.109099 0.155537
2026-04-12 0.000341 0.006507 0.020252 0.042823 0.074183 0.113223 0.163154
2026-04-19 0.000122 0.005730 0.019637 0.043165 0.076327 0.117946 0.171463
2026-04-26 0.000006 0.004825 0.018715 0.043092 0.078028 0.122286 0.179544
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003434 0.016539 0.040952 0.076845 0.122949 0.183124
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002644 0.015390 0.040297 0.077622 0.126048 0.189654
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002259 0.015076 0.040941 0.080178 0.131406 0.198955
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001945 0.014855 0.041702 0.082879 0.136938 0.208464
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001805 0.015074 0.043194 0.086611 0.143804 0.219629
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001545 0.014871 0.043936 0.089258 0.149251 0.229025
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001813 0.016333 0.047585 0.096096 0.160169 0.245253
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001280 0.015138 0.046549 0.096157 0.162231 0.250419
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001073 0.014925 0.047214 0.098659 0.167473 0.259552
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000798 0.014318 0.047122 0.100032 0.171217 0.266795